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Date Posted: 03:00:06 01/26/02 Sat
Author: BJ
Author Host/IP: 216.143.220.97
Subject: UNofficial Prediction Thread (sorry Bearchatter, had to start without you)

I was gazing at UC's previous scores and found an interesting correlation: If you look at the last four opponents with an RPI outside the top 150 (Toledo, Akron, ECU, and DePaul), you'll see a 14 point average margin of victory.

On the flipside, the last three opponents in the top 50 (Xavier, Mississippi State, and Charlotte), there is an average 22 point margin.

In this case, the numbers certainly don't lie. In the four games against the crap teams, there were an assortment of problems (shooting, lack of offensive flow, defensive let ups late) depending on the particular opponent. In the games vs. the good teams, they were often sharp on both ends with very few flaws.

Point being: Oklahoma State game not included, Cincy has saved their best games for their best opponents. There were numerous problems vs. St. Louis, but I look for the group to rebound solidly with a couple good days of practice. No looking past USF, the Bulls are fighting for a tourney bid, and I'm sure Huggs' troops know that.

USF plays up tempo (advantage Cats), and plays some zone defense (advantage Logan, Stokes, Field). Mac (probably, unless Stokes gets him) will do his job on Jackson, Little and Davis bottle up Waldon, and the Cats will get a solid win.

UC 75 USF 62.

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