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Date Posted: 12:01:47 11/27/04 Sat
Author: 旺財
Subject: 分錢時刻 - 日本盃分析 (內文)

今年日本盃主隊實力平均而欠突出, 但外隊馬少兼水皮, 海軍鬥水兵下主隊稍佔優勢. 詳細分析如下:

1. 決策人. 出賽十一次六冠兩亞, 但上場凱旋門大賽跑包尾. 快地性能未明, 加上易坐廂的位, 放棄.

2. 金月亮. 呢隻仲勁, 七戰四冠一亞一季, 只一次不上名, 但對手一直只是雌馬. 路程適合, 但亦應以軟地較佳. 觀望.

3. 真心呼喚. 今年日本打比亞軍, 上場菊花賞大熱倒灶. 初會年長馬, 止於一位.

4. 成田世紀. 遲熟馬, 出自東來兵. 只嫌卡士不足, 放棄.

5. 鳳凰烈焰. 今年成績退步, 輸實.

6. 萬能泰斗. 閹馬淪為電兔, 可以不理.

7. 密州怨曲. 菊花賞爆到石破天驚, 但居然再跑日本盃. 強如菱鑽奇寶當年爆完菊花賞下場都無影, 呢隻都係唔買好過.

8. 駱驊. 最鍾意搵外來騎師做替工, 進步中但實力有待驗証, 現時看跑雌馬賽事才有機會.

9. 荒漠英雄. 可能並非最強, 但肯定最穩. 跑東京三次兩冠一亞, Q 膽是也.

10. 大宇宙. 近年最強的地方馬. 如果唔係用五十嵐冬, 今年應可至少贏日本三冠其中一關. 換上外來騎師, 搏命! 冷 Win 之選.

11. 菱鑽奇寶. 卡士可能冠全場, 但腳部健康令人憂慮. 三勝一級賽俱有好分頭, 今次火燒都唔熱, 搏佢係第二隻東海帝王都好. 拖.

12. 高級玩意. 亦為日本今年三歲精英, 上場菊花賞失望, 今次換杜滿萊. 東京特佳, 腳.

13. 駿公子. 水馬, 唔駛理.

14. 浪淘沙. 今年菊花賞亞軍, 始終唔覺得有乜特別, 最少小弟心中呢匹馬必在大宇宙及高級玩意下. 唔要.

15. 鮑華斯高. 轉戰各地, 惡戰連場, 逄出必近, 就是不出頭. 最吸引的地方是育馬者盃草地賽可以跑位置, 但體力能否保持是最大關鍵. 放頭馬, 但今年肯定唔會有去年的步速. 必熱之馬, 唔要好過要.

16. 威信. 今年加冕盃及巴登大賽得主, 去年香港瓶季軍. 外隊馬中呢隻應為最強. 特擅跑陌生場地, 配范義龍不會陪跑. 話時話, 呢位騎師居然仲可以騎馬, 英國馬圈真大量.

結論. 正路計, 荒漠英雄四平八穩, 威信虎視眈眈, 加埋三隻 10, 11, 12 大冧把, 條 Q 應該走唔甩. 小弟就搏冷要 10 Win.

介紹: 9, 16, 10 互串買兩條. 9, 16 - 11, 12. 各一條. 共一百.

好運.

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