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Date Posted: 16:05:30 08/21/08 Thu
Author: TC
Subject: Re: The American people are just too busy for issues that would force them to think...
In reply to: MJD 's message, "from the Arizona Republic (on-line)" on 10:14:55 08/21/08 Thu

they'll protest the high oil prices and it's far easier to believe McBush's sound bites than to research.

A missing child, a shooting, plane crash or a storm, boom, easy to understand, no thinking involved.




>Handful of speculators dominate vast oil market
>by David Cho - Aug. 21, 2008 12:00 AM
>
>Washington Post
>
>WASHINGTON - Regulators had long classified a private
>Swiss energy conglomerate called Vitol as a trader
>that primarily helped industrial firms that needed oil
>to run their businesses.
>
>But when the Commodity Futures Trading Commission
>examined Vitol's books last month, it found that the
>firm was in fact more of a speculator, holding oil
>contracts as a profit-making investment rather than a
>means of lining up the actual delivery of fuel.
>
>Even more surprising to the commodities markets was
>the massive size of Vitol's portfolio - at one point
>in July, the firm held 11 percent of all the oil
>contracts on the regulated New York Mercantile
>Exchange.
>The discovery revealed how an individual financial
>player had gained enormous sway over the oil market
>without the knowledge of regulators. Other CFTC data
>showed that a significant amount of trading activity
>was concentrated in the hands of just a few
>speculators.
>
>The CFTC, which learned about the nature of Vitol's
>activities only after making an unusual request for
>data from the firm, now reports that financial firms
>speculating for their clients or for themselves
>account for about 81 percent of the oil contracts on
>NYMEX, a far bigger share than had previously been
>stated by the agency.
>
>Some lawmakers have blamed these firms for the
>volatility of oil prices, including the tremendous
>run-up that peaked earlier in the summer.
>
>"It is now evident that speculators in the energy
>futures markets play a much larger role than
>previously thought, and it is now even harder to
>accept the agency's laughable assertion that excessive
>speculation has not contributed to rising energy
>prices," said Rep. John Dingell, D-Mich. He added that
>it was "difficult to comprehend how the CFTC would
>allow a trader" to acquire such a large oil inventory
>"and not scrutinize this position any sooner."
>
>The CFTC, which refrains from naming specific traders
>in its reports, did not publicly identify Vitol.
>
>The agency's report showed only the size of the
>holdings of an unnamed trader. Vitol's identity as
>that trader was confirmed by two industry sources with
>direct knowledge of the matter.
>
>CFTC documents show Vitol was one of the most active
>traders of oil on NYMEX as prices reached record
>levels. By June 6, for instance, Vitol had acquired a
>huge holding in oil contracts, betting prices would
>rise. The contracts were equal to 57.7 million barrels
>of oil - about three times the amount the United
>States consumes daily. That day, the price of oil
>spiked $11 to settle at $138.54. Oil prices eventually
>peaked at $147.27 a barrel on July 11 before falling
>back to settle at $114.98 Wednesday.
>
>
>The biggest players on the commodity exchanges often
>operate as "swap dealers" who primarily invest on
>behalf of hedge funds, wealthy individuals and pension
>funds, allowing these investors to enjoy returns
>without having to buy an actual contract for oil or
>other goods. Some dealers also manage commodity
>trading for commercial firms.
>
>To build up the vast holdings this practice entails,
>some swap dealers have maneuvered behind the scenes,
>exploiting their political influence and gaps in
>oversight to gain exemptions from regulatory limits
>and permission to set up new, unregulated markets.
>Many big traders are active not only on NYMEX but also
>on private and overseas markets beyond the CFTC's
>purview. These openings have given the firms nearly
>unfettered access to the trading of vital goods,
>including oil, cotton and corn.
>
>Using swap dealers as middlemen, investment funds have
>poured into the commodity markets, raising their
>holdings to $260 billion this year from $13 billion in
>2003. During that same period, the price of crude oil
>rose unabated every year.
>
>CFTC data show that at the end of July, just four swap
>dealers held one-third of all NYMEX oil contracts that
>bet prices would increase. Dealers make trades that
>forecast prices will either rise or fall. Energy
>analysts say these data are evidence of the
>concentration of power in the markets.
>
>CFTC leaders have argued that speculators are not
>influencing commodities' prices.
>
>Vitol released a statement that stated only that it
>had not been contacted by the CFTC about the
>reclassification of its business and that its trading
>status remained unchanged.

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