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Date Posted: 21:22 18/09/24 Wed
Author: Two-Bob Man
Author Host/IP: NoHost / 110.144.28.91
Subject: Yes, Rodda - you are correct.
In reply to: Rodda83 's message, "We had Pick 2 not 3 in ND draft had we not traded it early." on 21:04 18/09/24 Wed

The point is that the decision is made with regards to looking at likely outcomes based on probability.

We had made finals in each of 2018, 2019 and 2020 and I guess the predicted likelihood of us finishing in the bottom 3 to 5 was remote.

But we did...unfortunately.

So - as it stands now - the question is whether or not we bother trying to get into this draft more fully as everyone assesses that it is deeper than the 2025 cohort, or do we hedge our bets and keep our #1 pick next year because THAT cohort might be better AND we might end up getting a top 3 pick AND McGuane with points?

Do we assume that McGuane will not be one of the better players and that, even if we should miss out on draft pick 1, a bid won't come before our pick?

This is where you can only go on what the likely scenarios are - and some level of "risk assessment" needs to be made because anything is possible.

TBM

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