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Subject: Re: I never understood... Author: observer [ Next Thread | Previous Thread | Next Message | Previous Message ] Date Posted: 09:18:39 02/04/26 Wed In reply to: Go Green 's message, "I never understood..." on 08:05:47 02/04/26 Wed Measures 3 things: 1) Luck 2) Shooting background (it seems like the Palestra has a net negative effect, based on initial parsing of data) 3) Relative strength/weakness of program at the line. This thread seems to be proven out - Brown has either run into terrible luck, or relative to their peers, they can't hit FT... [ Next Thread | Previous Thread | Next Message | Previous Message ]

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[> [> [> [> Subject: Re: I never understood... Author: An Observer [ Edit | View ] Date Posted: 10:14:56 02/04/26 Wed I'm interested whenever opponents' free throw percentage stands out. Following up on observer: (1) Similar to when opponents shoot 60% from behind the three-point arc for a half or even a game, luck matters. But eventually, reversion to the mean occurs. (2) Congratulations to Penn fans, I presume, for screaming and yelling enough to make a difference. I'm surprised that Jadwin doesn't lower opponents' free throw shooting. The "airplane hanger" is certainly the venue that Ivy opponents complain about the most in terms of shooting background. (3) As Go Green suggested, other parts of the game can affect a team's free throw shooting, at least in theory. If you press for 40 minutes, you're going to be tired at the line with five seconds left. Also, some players (and therefore some teams) just seem to be more calm and composed at the line with the game on the line. Maybe it's my imagination, but you can almost see it in a player's face. Can a team (or a crowd) affect an opponent's composure at crunch time? Maybe.

[> [> [> [> [> Subject: Re: I never understood... Author: sparman [ Edit | View ] Date Posted: 10:32:37 02/04/26 Wed I can think of a couple possible reasons to compile this infotmation. First, the number of opponent free throws tells you about the effect of your own team fouls. If you are committing excessive shooting fouls or when the opppnent is in a bounus situation as compared to nonshooting fouls, that could be something to identify. Second, the number of points your opponents typically score on FT tells you something about the level of disadvantage you are incurring from shooting fouls. Of course it may just be the simpler explanation of measuring the disruption caused by fans or shooting environment. If that's the case, I would think percentages are increasing as crowds shrink. Or maybe it's even simpler than that - some stat geek who just loves making numbers rrgardless of relevancy.