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Date Posted: 08:55:22 02/08/03 Sat
Author: JoeStag
Subject: % Chance of each Team Winning the MAAC Tourney

What is the % Chance of each Team Winning the MAAC Tourney. I like to deal in percentages rather than odds, because even though I kinda understand odds, in reality most people do not..... including myself.

Manhattan - 25%
Fairfield - 17%
Iona - 12%
Niagara - 12%
Siena - 12%
Canisius - 5%
Marist 5%
St Peters 5%
Rider - 5%
Loyola - 2%

Whoever finishes in 5th place between FU, IC, NU and SC would probably go down to 10%

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Replies:

[> Re: % Chance of each Team Winning the MAAC Tourney -- GuyF, 21:57:27 02/08/03 Sat

Those are fair numbers and I agree with the 5 seed dropping a shade. But I would also say the 3 seed has a better chance than the 4. With respect to the Stags, I'd rather face Fairfield than Manhattan in the semis.


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[> [> Re: % Chance of each Team Winning the MAAC Tourney -- Observer, 00:05:34 02/09/03 Sun

Wow! You're giving 3-1 odds on the Jaspers! I, for one, would take that for a good amount. If they finish first during the regular season as they're the favorite to do now, you're saying they have no better chance to win in Trenton than the other 3 teams in the semis, just 25%. I think you have to go higher than 25%


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