Re: Drastic Increase in EQ Activity -- Earthwatchers

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Date Posted: 20:31:14 06/26/04 Sat
Author: robert coykendall
Subject: Re: Drastic Increase in EQ Activity
In reply to: Eoth 's message, "Drastic Increase in EQ Activity" on 22:02:34 10/04/02 Fri

>DRASTIC INCREASE IN SEISMIC ACTIVITY
>-----We are on the course for a seismic activity as the world has never seen. Scientists that are in agreement with me please contact me!--------------------------------------------------
>-------------------------
> I am unable to post the graphs of the data, but if
>one graphs the five year energy release averages there
>are a small number of data points, and it shows the
>picture of what's happening. The rest of the data is
>for those who want to "crunch" their own numbers.
>
>You may be interested in what an analysis of existing
>earthquake data published by the U.S. government
>(neic.usgs.gov/neis/eqlists/eqstats.html) indicates.
>There is no current explanation; however the approach
>of a large gravitational field could be a possible
>explanation. If it�s increasing by this amount at this
>early a date the effects may be enormous.
>
>A clearer picture of the actual effects of increased
>seismic activity can be seen when the amount of energy
>released is analyzed, rather than the total number of
>quakes. Because the larger quakes are weighted more
>heavily, and they are the ones most accurately
>reported, the overall picture is more accurate. This
>overcomes some criticism that the increase in total
>numbers of quakes is merely a function better
>reporting and monitoring. The major increase in energy
>release is since 1990, when monitoring was quite
>accurate. Is it possible that this dramatic increase
>in energy release may be related to or more likely
>cause global warming? The chart of the five year
>averages show a much clearer indication of the
>dramatic increase in released energy. The raw data and
>formula used is for the benefit of those who would
>like to �crunch the numbers� in other ways. There is
>some disagreement on whether the energy increase
>accompanying each whole integer increase on the
>Richter scale is 31 or 32, and so the more
>conservative estimate of 31, is used. The implications
>are dramatic.
>
>Using the assumption that each whole number increase
>on the Richter scale, increases the energy release by
>a factor of 31, (neic.usgs.gov/neis/genera...hter.html)
>And setting the midpoint of the Richter scale category
>of (.1-.9) as a base line, we then get the formula;
>(where N= the number of quakes in a range) N1+ (N2*31)
>+ (N3*31^2) + (N4*31^3) � etc., for the entire series
>of ranges. This will give the energy release for each
>year as below, using scientific notation, in
>equivalent .1-.9 (N1) level quakes.
>
>DATA FROM U.S. GOVERNMENT NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE
>INFORMATION CENTER NUMBER OF QUAKES IN EACH RANGE ON
>THE RICHTER SCALE
>
>YEAR .1-.9 1.0-1.9 2.0-2.9
> 3.0-3.9 4.0-4.9 5.0-5.9
>6.0-6.9 7.0-7.9 8.0-9.9
>1970 0 0 13 149
>2355 1195 110 20 0
>1971 0 0 18 182
>2338 1221 112 19 1
>1972 0 0 6 310 2300
> 1316 110 15 0
>1973 0 0 11 502
>2576 1331 95 13 0
>1974 0 3 24 489
>2598 1312 99 14 0
>1975 0 0 41 553
>2608 1447 107 14 1
>1976 0 0 53 650
>2550 1649 114 15 2
>1977 0 0 54 479
>2405 1686 89 11 2
>1978 0 4 111 836
>2602 1526 93 16 0
>1979 0 1 99 1280
>3024 1366 100 13 0
>1980 0 2 79 1725
>3271 1299 105 13 1
>1981 0 3 109 1082
>3209 1168 90 13 0
>1982 0 3 170 1128
>3232 1425 85 10 0
>1983 1 8 291 1578
>3563 1673 126 14 0
>1984 0 37 442 1579
>3683 1579 91 8 0
>1985 0 97 935 1764
>4281 1674 110 13 1
>1986 0 153 1169 1942
> 4476 1665 89 5 1
>1987 0 102 1037 1806
> 4146 1437 112 11 0
>1988 3 118 1479 1932
> 4018 1485 93 8 0
>1989 0 418 1906 2452
> 4090 1444 79 6 1
>1990 0 474 2364 2457
> 4493 1635 115 12 0
>1991 1 801 2927 2952
> 4372 1469 105 11 0
>1992 2 887 3068 4643
> 5196 1541 104 23 0
>1993 9 1177 5390 4263
> 5034 1449 141 15 1
>1994 17 779 5369 5000
> 8140 1327 161 13 2
>1995 19 645 3828 5002
> 8140 1327 185 22 3
>1996 1 295 2388 4869
> 8794 1223 160 21 1
>1997 4 388 2397 4467
> 7938 1118 125 20 0
>1998 10 805 4091 5945
> 7303 979 113 14 2
>1999 5 715 4201 5521
> 7042 1106 123 23 0
>2000 5 1028 3758 4784
> 8045 1345 153 16 4
>2001 1 946 4133 6137
> 8214 1152 130 14 1
>
>CHART OF TOTAL ENERGY RELEASE BY YEAR
>
>YEAR ENERGY
>1970 6.84269E+11
>1971 1.51215E+12
>1972 5.50124E+11
>1973 4.82476E+11
>1974 5.13015E+11
>1975 1.37688E+12
>1976 2.26923E+12
>1977 2.13791E+12
>1978 5.68856E+11
>1979 4.88353E+11
>1980 1.344E+12
>1981 4.73974E+11
>1982 3.94379E+11
>1983 5.48236E+11
>1984 3.49518E+11
>1985 1.36011E+12
>1986 1.1213E+12
>1987 4.47063E+11
>1988 3.48923E+11
>1989 1.13327E+12
>1990 4.83248E+11
>1991 4.42011E+11
>1992 7.74148E+11
>1993 1.43698E+12
>1994 2.252E+12
>1995 3.3738E+12
>1996 1.61594E+12
>1997 7.00664E+11
>1998 2.2262E+12
>1999 7.80289E+11
>2000 4.03364E+12
>2001 1.3942E+12
>
>AVERAGE ENERGY RELEASE IN FIVE YEAR INCREMENTS
>
> 5 YEAR AVERAGE
>1970 -1974 7.48407E+11
>1975 -1979 1.36825E+12
>1980 -1984 6.22022E+11
>1985 -1989 8.82135E+11
>1990 -1994 1.07768E+12
>1995 -2001 2.01782E+12

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