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[> [> Thanks, dent (nm) -- JCard, 21:51:31 11/17/03 Mon

>by Jake Curtis, Chronicle Staff Writer
>
>There are two keys to Santa Clara's success: Kyle
>Bailey's back must stay healthy, and the Broncos need
>to get off to a slow start.
>
>Although the second part is paradoxical, the
>importance of Bailey is obvious. An all-conference
>point guard two years ago, Bailey was limited to six
>games last season because of foot and back problems.
>His absence was a major reason the Broncos slipped to
>4-10 in West Coast Conference play, the first time
>since 1993-94 the Broncos failed to have a winning
>conference record.
>
>Even though he had arthroscopic knee surgery in
>September, Bailey seems fine now.
>
>"He gets a massage on his back every day," Santa Clara
>coach Dick Davey said, "but I can't do much of
>anything to rest him, because of our numbers at the
>point. Right now, Kyle is a 40-minute man, until we
>can find somebody to help."
>
>If Bailey's back is OK, the Broncos might do better
>than their predicted sixth-place WCC finish.
>
>"I think we can win 16-18 games if we stay healthy,"
>Davey said. "We're not any bigger, but we have
>basically everybody back. I think we're a little
>smarter, and I think we can shoot a little better. And
>when you make baskets, you look a lot better."
>
>Including Bailey, four starters are back from last
>season's 13-15 team. Brandon Rohe, a 6-foot-4 guard
>and the team's leading scorer last season as a
>freshman, has not practiced much because of a back
>problem, but should be OK.
>
>Besides Rohe, the Broncos have a couple players who
>can shoot, namely Ethan Rohde, a 6-5 junior who hit
>41.2 percent of his 3-pointers last season, and Scott
>Dougherty, a 6-5 walk-on redshirt freshman. The other
>noteworthy newcomer is junior-college transfer Doron
>Perkins, who, like Bailey, is from Alaska.
>
>The Broncos will not have much size inside, relying on
>6-8 center Jim Howell, 6-8 forward Jordan Legge and
>6-7 forward Travis Niesen.
>
>"If we can rebound the ball and get something inside
>offensively, I think we can be OK," Davey said.
>
>Davey needs a turnaround season. He has gone 13-15 the
>past two seasons after winning 18 or more in six of
>his previous nine seasons.
>
>"We've had two average-to-poor years, but there has
>been no mutiny," Davey said.
>
>The best omen for success might be to stumble early.
>That is almost assured next season, with Mississippi
>State, Stanford and North Carolina on the schedule.
>This season, the Broncos might have to work at
>starting slowly, but that has been their means to
>success recently.
>
>In the 1998-99 season, they started 4-8 but were 8-6
>in conference games and reached the finals of the WCC
>tournament. In 1999-2000, they began 5-6, but finished
>with 19 wins and were 9-5 in the conference. In
>2000-01, the Broncos started 4-6, but were 10-4 in the
>WCC and won 20 overall, and in the '01-02 season, they
>lost eight of their first nine games, but had an 8-6
>conference record.
>
>So when they began last season 9-3, they had to figure
>something was wrong. It was. Santa Clara won only four
>of its remaining 16 games.
>
>E-mail Jake Curtis at jcurtis@sfchronicle.com.

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