出現不同意見是正常不過的事,例如明德在香港瓶如不受阻,有朋友可以覺得會贏馬,可能有些覺得跑第五或第十.又可以認為勁將軍2400M更好,這點愚弟完全理解.個人盡量客觀分析,勁將軍那路程最好現階段未能肯定,因只在港跑過兩場,奧馬田也贏過覺士盾,但於香港杯直路初已缺力,澳紐馬不能單用賽績計是真正長途馬,宜每匹摸索.另外愚弟也承認風雲小子在直路曾受阻,但以個人對賽馬的速度感有限所知,這影響怎也不至於有五個馬位之差而說牠因此失掉冠軍,能追及第四名的機會只得四成. -- Ouzaikeiba Horse Racing Discussion Forum

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Date Posted: 01:19:25 12/14/04 Tue
Author: Lincoln
Subject: 出現不同意見是正常不過的事,例如明德在香港瓶如不受阻,有朋友可以覺得會贏馬,可能有些覺得跑第五或第十.又可以認為勁將軍2400M更好,這點愚弟完全理解.個人盡量客觀分析,勁將軍那路程最好現階段未能肯定,因只在港跑過兩場,奧馬田也贏過覺士盾,但於香港杯直路初已缺力,澳紐馬不能單用賽績計是真正長途馬,宜每匹摸索.另外愚弟也承認風雲小子在直路曾受阻,但以個人對賽馬的速度感有限所知,這影響怎也不至於有五個馬位之差而說牠因此失掉冠軍,能追及第四名的機會只得四成.
In reply to: Lincoln 's message, "另一點是沙田的沙網草地長期偏快,就算勁洒水,但沙網草上水甚快,加上秋冬天天氣乾爽,所以場地甚快,結合愚弟對歐洲氣候的粗略認知,沙田草地怎也比歐洲快.愚弟不是要沙田仿效歐洲場地,因是不切實際,只想交流下沙田的場地而已.另一點可作引證是過去於沙田快地打折扣的得日,前次轉戰谷草取得突破,正直是谷草面合這好地馬,也看到沙田賽道確長期偏快" on 01:01:57 12/14/04 Tue

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有一點最不明白,就是愚弟同意本港高班馬質素是比以前提高,但想不到會拿作與歐洲先進地區相提並論.精英大師實力確比歐洲短途馬好,但不應單用一匹馬來評估.以香港瓶作例,頭馬鳳凰烈焰在歐洲甚至全球最高水準的2400M大賽英皇喬治六世及女皇伊莉沙伯鑽石錦標是完全陪跑,第二名的眼中金更與高多芬團體今年的一級大軍長老及緬甸古廟等相距甚遠,第三的逍遙谷已是最好,能在高水準大賽得五,六名,但牠們仍足以包辦香港瓶前三名呢! (NT) -- Lincoln, 01:48:25 12/14/04 Tue
- 個人也同意今年個別歐洲大賽頭馬略不及往年,如今年朱德望國際錦標冠軍緬甸古廟不及去年的飛霸,但總仍輕勝香港瓶的冠軍及第三名(緬甸古廟是今年英皇喬治六世及女皇伊莉沙伯鑽石錦標季軍)北極光可能是近年較遜色的葉森打比冠軍,但也在愛爾蘭打比輕易贏賣來港的五世其昌及好多威.再舉個簡單例子,去屆歐聯冠軍波圖可能不及前幾屆,難道這就等同水準只值香港甲組?當然這例子是誇張些,但意思相差不遠 (NT) -- Lincoln, 01:49:41 12/14/04 Tue
- 小弟同意本港馬匹平均水準比以往提高,可能取消第六班的原因吧...但一點要注意的是:低班水準提升的速度比高班水準的提升速度快,連第五班的紀錄時間比最佳時間慢不了多少(明顯場地作怪);[逍遙谷]在主場跑凱旋門大賽才會跑第六o (NT) -- 地球人, 14:14:15 12/15/04 Wed

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