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weather election day Saturday 27/11/2010
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Date Posted: 27/11/10 1:35:27
In reply to:
First posted November 27, 2010 19:56:00
's message, "'Swing is on' as voters turn against Labor" on 27/11/10 1:33:24
>'Swing is on' as voters turn against Labor
>Updated November 27, 2010 20:24:00
>
>Brumby casts his vote (AAP: Joe Castro)
>Video: Baillieu casts a 'vote for change' (ABC News)
>Video: Brumby unfazed by polls (ABC News) Related
>Story: Polls close in Victorian cliffhanger
>Labor is on the brink of losing power in Victoria
>after the state's voters delivered a stinging rebuke
>to the government of Premier John Brumby.
>
>As early results came in from today's state election,
>Labor was suffering a swing against it of about 7 per
>cent.
>
>ABC election analyst Antony Green said the size of the
>swing put the state "on the cusp of something
>remarkable happening" but warned the final result
>would not be clear-cut.
>
>"At the moment it looks like the Government may have
>been defeated. It looks like the Government may be in
>a great deal of trouble," he said.
>
>"The swing is big enough for a change of government,
>but it's so patchy ... that we are going to have to
>wait for the preference votes to come in," he said.
>
>Ted Baillieu's Liberal/Nationals Coalition needs to
>take 13 seats from Labor to terminate Labor's 11-year
>rule and form a majority government.
>
>The ABC election computer had the Coalition gaining 12
>seats, with the Liberals taking Bentleigh, Burwood,
>Carrum, Forest Hill, Frankston, Gembrook, Mitcham,
>Mount Waverley, Prahran, Seymour and South Barwon from
>Labor and the Nationals gaining Gippsland East from
>independent Craig Ingram.
>
>Retiring Labor MP Carlo Carli acknowledged "the swing
>is on".
>
>"It's going to be very close," he told the ABC.
>
>"The swing is on, the question is whether we defended
>those marginal seats enough."
>
>Mr Carli acknowledged that Labor was suffering a swing
>against it in outer suburban Melbourne and inner
>metropolitan seats.
>
>Liberal frontbencher Mary Wooldridge said the
>Coalition is confident.
>
>"We're now in a position where we might win
>Government," she said.
>
>"That was our aspiration and we're ideally positioned
>and just exactly where we'd like to be."
>
>A Sky News exit poll released as polls closed showed
>support for the Coalition at 54 per cent as opposed to
>46 per cent for Labor.
>
>The poll was based on interviews with 3,000 voters in
>18 marginal electorates, but did not take into account
>the record number of postal and pre-poll votes that
>have been cast.
>
>Earlier today polls by both AC Nielsen and Newspoll
>had the Coalition marginally ahead of Labor on a
>two-party preferred basis heading into polling day.
>
>AC Nielsen had the Coalition just in front with 52 per
>cent of the vote and Labor on 48 per cent. Newspoll
>forecast a tighter contest, with 51 per cent to the
>Liberals and 48.9 per cent to Labor.
>
>It was the first time the Coalition had led either of
>the polls during the campaign.
>
>Victoria could be left with a hung parliament if the
>Coalition picks up 12 seats in the regions and
>Melbourne's outer eastern suburbs, and the Greens win
>either one of the inner-city seats of Melbourne or
>Brunswick.
>
>The Greens' hopes of making any more gains this time
>around were dealt a serious blow when the Liberals
>decided to preference them last but are still expected
>to attract a surge of support in as many as eight
>inner Melbourne seats.
>
>Labor has ruled Victoria for 11 years, since the
>departure of Liberal premier Jeff Kennett in 1999, but
>Mr Brumby is battling to be elected in his own right
>for the first time.
>
>Earlier today Mr Brumby, who had to change voting
>locations to avoid some protesters, appeared resigned
>to a swing against his government.
>
>"I don't claim that everything we have done in
>government has been perfect," he said.
>
>"It will be a tight election, but I think the
>difference at the end of the day is going to be about
>leadership for the future.
>
>"It will be very close, very tight, and hopefully we
>will get a result tonight."
>
>Mr Baillieu voted in his seat of Hawthorn today and
>said he was seeking to govern in his own right.
>
>"We haven't done a deal with independents or Greens
>and we're not about to do a deal," he said.
>
>"The message we're sending is clear. This is a tired,
>incompetent and out of touch Government that has had
>11 years. They haven't delivered, they have left
>Victorians with big problems.
>
>"We're going to do something about it; fix those
>problems and get on with it."
>
>Tags: government-and-politics, elections,
>states-and-territories, vic
>First posted November 27, 2010 19:56:00
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