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Date Posted: 14:37:28 08/31/04 Tue
Author: Jimmy
Author Host/IP: 68.107.97.246
Subject: Week 5 on deck...

[editors note ] “…I was talking to chuck who was given to pills and fast racing cars… he had given them up since his last crack up had carried him to far… then we spoke of movies and verse, and the way su’cides don leave notes, then we spoke of the rain… always back to the rain… [for the longest time I thought it was ‘Lorraine’, which still makes better sense to me, but, hey, it’s Lou Reed and John Cale et al of the Velvet Underground, and who knows what they had in mind to this day? GEAUWD I miss the miscreants of Rock ‘n Roll past. There are a few of them out there still, but this techno crap/rap/hiphop shit that passes for ‘music’ these days just don’t cut it. Entertainment it may be, but it’s NOT music. “…meanwhile, I was still thinkin” [thanks, Joe]… such is the state of the FIFL through week 4!

GAME of the WEEK! – (A)
Colorado (3-1) at Portland (2-2)
***** NFC Pacific Division lead at stake!
key matchups:

DE Joe March (6 sacks) vs. T Jim Byerly
QB Craig Strickland (7 TDs/1050 yds) vs. Portland pass D
HB Rickey Blake (329 yds/5 TDs) vs. LB Darnell Minnieweathe (24 Tackles)
DE Franklin Thomas (7 sacks) vs. T Doug Van Meter
WR Robert Garth (26 rec/361 yds/3 TDs) vs. CB Pat McGuirk

prediction:

Colorado 24, Portland 25

HARD RAIN [DYLAN!] fell on both teams last week. The Wildcats sprinted through their 1st 3 games. Then whoosh! chiiinggg! clang! the Slayers sliced ‘em up in their own house. ZERO 1st downs rushing? Don’t ever recall that happening B4, with or without HB Ricky Blake. Tough to work from behind in this league. Colorado at least has QB Strickland, WR Garth and HB Blake to lead a torrid passing attack. The Prowlers looked worse last week on the road than they did the week before. 1 1st down rushing is better than none, I guess? 12 for the game is abysmal… Twilight Zone stuff for this team. HB Anthony Collins & Company are 17th rushing. QB Higgs and his passing posse rank 10th, leaving Portland 17th overall offensively. These types of numbers never really mattered with this team in the past. They always won despite rankings to the contrary. But the numbers were never this bad. Make the call? COL 27, POR 24, OT.

GAME of the WEEK! – (B)
Wichita (3-1) at Springfield (2-2)
***** NFC Great Plain Division lead at stake!
key matchups:

QB Wilkie Perez (4 TDs/1039 yds) vs. Wichita pass D
HB Brian Edmonds (352 yds/3 TDs) vs. Wichita run D (4.7 rush avg)
DT Todd Auer (5 sacks) vs. G Abdul Shabaz-Wiggi
QB Jay McDonagh (7 TDs/1178 yds) vs. Springfield pass D
WR Pascal Volz (27 rec/380 yds/1 TDs) vs. CB Dennison Robinson

prediction:

Wichita 22, Springfield 24

Payback time? Wichita beat Springfield in week one, 26-20 in OT. The Warlords defense will decide their season. DL Shane Konop and his cohorts are sub-par. LB Brad Kjar and his group are OK. S1 Anthony Newsome anchors the DBs, the best unit on this defense. 18th ranked vs the rush, 12th vs the pass, 17th overall. Luckily, they are allowing only 17.3 PPG, 3rd best in the league. QB Jay McDonagh will keep the offense rolling. Springfield depends on its’ ball control run first offense. HB Brian Edmonds leads the league with 352 yds. FB Antoine Flowers chips in clutch bursts, averaging 4.9 YPC with 4 TDs. That group better get it done, because the best receiver on the team is TE Mo Thompson. QB Wilkie Perez reads defenses better than any QB in the league. Make the Call? WCH 22, SPR 25.

Louisiana (3-1) at Fargo (3-1)
***** AFC Gulf and NFC Great Plain Division leads at stake!
key matchups:

QB Kurt Warner (6 TDs/1067 yds) vs. Louisiana pass D
DE Terrence Simmons (5 sacks) vs. T John Verdegan
WR Alfonzo Browning (22 rec/285 yds/0 TDs) vs. CB Quincy Sorrell (1 INT)
QB Matt D'Orazio (8 TDs/923 yds) vs. Fargo pass D
HB Rayshawn Askew (320 yds/1 TDs) vs. Fargo run D (3.9 rush avg)
TE Michael Montoya (25 rec/391 yds/5 TDs) vs. LB Jerry Gerth

prediction:

Louisiana 21, Fargo 23

We almost made this THE game of the week (6 key matchups, tied for most this week!) Regardless, it merits 5 star ‘must watch’ status. The team that wins this one has the inside track for home field advantage throughout the season. The importance placed on this game by Louisiana is evident. They enter into play off mode. QB Johnny Johnson starts. DB Jeremy Jensen moves to S2. The Beast management is not displeased with D’Orazio at QB. It just feels the team can do better, especially on the road. It will need every advantage it can muster this week. Fargo wins 67.3% of its’ home games historically. They are 2-0 there this season. The Freeze are the most balanced offensive team in the league to date. Even with HB Rupert Grant subbing for standout HB Clinton Childs (O-5, Knee-cartilage injury), they can run. QB Kurt Warner sports a 105.4 RTG, 3rd best in the league. There are only 3 receivers in the top 60 in the league with the FGO label: HB Childs (32), WRs Alfonzo Browning (22) and Ray Puryear (14). Translation: conservative efficient offense. Defense is much the same. DL led by Terrance Simmons built for quickness. LBs Jerry Garth-like, all smart, all likely to eventually run out of steam. S1 Elijah Beamon solid, rest of DBs OK for now, will develop quickly. If left on the field too long, this defense will cave… hence the offensive philosophy: burn that clock! Make the Call? LOU 22, FGO 21.
Austin (2-2) at Black Hills (2-2)
***˝
key matchups:

QB Michael Proctor (5 TDs/1090 yds) vs. Austin pass D
HB Raphael Cooper (248 yds/3 TDs) vs. Austin run D (3.3 rush avg)
WR Scott Pingel (25 rec/286 yds/3 TDs) vs. CB David Knott
TE Eric Alford (26 rec/286 yds/1 TDs) vs. LB Jon Eberspach
WR Mercury Hayes (29 rec/392 yds/3 TDs) vs. CB Jimmy Lamour
TE Vong Xaykosy (18 rec/218 yds/0 TDs) vs. LB Marc Kimnach

prediction:

Austin 21, Black Hills 22

Austin has 2 losses: both are to division rivals. The Knights have 2 wins: none over division opponents… same story as last season. This week, they draw a weakened but still formidable Black Hills squad. 10 year veteran QB Gary Porter shows no signs of aging. His 104.4 RTG and 69.5% completion percentage show hw still is one the premier all time QBs in this league. HB Tom Petithomme is failing to make venerable star Elijah Raphael expendable. Austin currently ranks 18th and last rushing. WR Mercury Hayes and TE Vong Xaykosy make excellent targets for Porter. The O line appears to be as good as any other team. The defense certainly has enough talent (witness the #1 rated 15.0 PSA.) Black Hills is rebuilding on the run. Others have tried this, and usually ended up with losing records. The Machine has lost some of its’ bluster, but they are still tough. QB Michael Proctor depends on HB Raphael Cooper WR Scott Pingel and TE Eric Alford. The team ranks 2nd in the league in total offense. The defense is OK, save for the disturbing 15th rated scoring against figure (22.5.) Make the Call? AUS 21, BLK 22.
Madison (2-2) at Honolulu (2-2)
***˝
key matchups:

DT Alan Donnell (5 sacks) vs. G Matt Weston
WR Tyrone Jones (22 rec/302 yds/1 TDs) vs. CB Mike Morris (2 INTs)

prediction:

Madison 18, Honolulu 22

Contrary to previous prognostications, the Madison Mad Dogs WILL be hanging around this season and challenging for their accustomed play off slot. It was an ugly win last week, but it was a win… the type that ensures the status quo in the AFC Eastern Division. WR Rashaan Vanterpool and TE Johnnie Ostermeyer team with the quick stepping QB Richard Fuentes to advance the magic that is the Mad Dogs. This is the best smoke and mirror team in the league, but, hey, it works for them. The most telling stat is the 17.5 scoring against. The Hurricanes remind us of that Chrissie Hynde (?) RAMONES tune… “…middle of the road…” Still, there is that aura of intrigue that hangs over the Honolulu franchise… Make the Call? MAD 19, HON 23.

Fort Wayne (2-2) at Dayton (3-1)
***
key matchups:

QB Joshua Wallwork (8 TDs/966 yds) vs. Fort Wayne pass D
HB Rashaan Dumas (277 yds/5 TDs) vs. Fort Wayne run D (2.9 rush avg)

prediction:

Fort Wayne 19, Dayton 27

The Safari stepped up early, and show promise for the future… which is more than we can at this point RE: division rivals Steel Valley and St Louis? “Shakes” will get his again, but the top 5 all time franchise that is the Dayton Flyers prevail in this divisional match up. Make the Call? FWS 18, DAY 31.

Mississippi (3-1) at Mobile (1-3)
**˝
key matchups:

WR Jo Jo Justice (23 rec/309 yds/2 TDs) vs. CB Richard Rodgers
TE Chinedu Achebe (27 rec/273 yds/0 TDs) vs. LB Mel Mills

prediction:

Mississippi 21, Mobile 18

The Fire Dogs a force to be reckoned with, the Seagulls biding time. Mississippi wins on the road for the 1st time since Eve tempted Adam? Make the Call? MIS 21, MOB 18.
Lincoln (0-4) at Billings (1-3)
**
key matchups:

HB Wesley Cates (305 yds/3 TDs) vs. LB Johnny Harrison (31 Tackles)
WR Johnny Boyd (18 rec/223 yds/0 TDs) vs. CB Corey Dowden (2 INTs)
QB John Fourcade (3 TDs/1116 yds) vs. Billings pass D
WR Barry Wagner (30 rec/417 yds/0 TDs) vs. CB LeRoi Jones (2 INTs)

prediction:

Lincoln 21, Billings 25

We prefer to believe in the law of averages. Make the Call? LIN 23, BIL 22.
Steel Valley (1-3) at St Louis (1-3)
˝
key matchups:

HB Glenn Vereen (205 yds/3 TDs) vs. Steel Valley run D (1.5 rush avg)
DT Donnell Jones (5 sacks) vs. G Adam Hotz
TE Rufus Bess (27 rec/321 yds/1 TDs) vs. LB Johnny Shepherd
QB Mike Hohensee (4 TDs/1119 yds) vs. St Louis pass D
WR Calvin Schexnayder (38 rec/558 yds/3 TDs) vs. CB Tracey Perkins

prediction:

Steel Valley 18, St Louis 23

Two teams we thought were ready for prime time. Interest in the Smash now appears to be as dismal as that droning sterile intonation from the traffic control box in the movie BLADE RUNNER: “…move on… move on… move on… move on…” Make the Call? STV 17, STL 19.

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