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Monday, January 20, 10:28:37pmLogin ] [ Contact Forum Admin ] [ Main index ] [ Post a new message ] [ Search | Check update time | Archives: 1234 ]


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Date Posted: Wednesday, January 15, 10:04:24pm
Author: eganonoa
Author Host/IP: pool-108-18-149-21.washdc.fios.verizon.net / 108.18.149.21
Subject: Raul vs Mitrovic (again...)

Questions again below regarding comparisons between Raul and Mitrovic. One implying that Raul's record is bolstered by his penalties. The other asking about shot-to-goals ratio and debating xG differentials. Using the same comparison from last week (fbref.com/tiny/e88eo) - i.e. this season vs Mitro's best season - we can answer some of them quite easily.

A. Non-penalty goals per 90 (expected): Raul 0.34 (0.39), Mitro 0.45 (0.39).
B. Non-penalty goal contributions per 90: Raul 0.68, Mitro 0.67.
C. Shots (Shots on Target%) per 90: Raul 3.36 (38.8%), Mitro 3.81 (31.8%).
D. Goals per Shot on Target per 90: Raul 0.26, Mitro 0.37.

So Mitro was in his very best season in the Premier League, was a faster scorer than Raul, and while he got fewer shots on target, scored more frequently than him when he did. Nonetheless, the differences are quite small, amounting to 3 more goals for Mitro if they both played all 90 minutes of all 38 matches, but an equal number of goal contributions (goals + assists).

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