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Subject: Missed Foul Shots...


Author:
Grin and Bear it
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Date Posted: 12:55:49 02/02/26 Mon

While women's sports at Brown continue to improve, men's sports are comfortably in last place or next to last place in virtually every sport. Why so bad? Probably because the other schools in the league are playing for keeps. As noted in a prior post, men's ice hockey has been a disaster for at least 20 years, and while wrestling is improving, it really needs to allow for more recruits to be competitive. Right now, they are limited to 7 recruits per year, but they need at least 10. But the big mystery is why basketball has struggled. The team is full of talent, certainly as talented as any team in the league. But two things are noteworthy, they don't play well as a team, and they can't make foul shots when they need to. The missed foul shots is very vexing. Year in and year out, Brown is the worse foul shooting team in the league. And when the game is on the line, if you can't make your free throws, you are going to lose. And that is exactly what Brown has been doing. But their troubles go beyond missing free throws; they don't play team basketball. Not at all, they pass the ball around and usually wind up taking a bad shot. And when they take a good shot, it seldom goes in. Kinda hard to win when that happens. Not sure why, perhaps someone can provide an explanation.

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Replies:
[> Subject: Glad you brought this up!


Author:
Go Green
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Date Posted: 13:02:59 02/02/26 Mon


Dartmouth went 24-28 from the FT line, with Kareem Thomas (who shot poorly from the field) going 10-10. Given that the game went into OT, we needed every one of those free throws.

While I haven't seen Brown play other than the Dartmouth game, it was clear that Brown pressed and played very tight defense against Dartmouth most of the game. That takes energy. Brown's guys may just be gassed enough to miss those FTs by an inch (which is all it takes).
[> Subject: Re: Missed Foul Shots...


Author:
Brown Fan
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Date Posted: 16:09:12 02/03/26 Tue

The free throw shooting actually has been better this year than last year, but it's still not where it needs to be. On the other hand, opponents have made 73 of 79 foul shots against Brown in the last 3 games.

The ineffective outside shooting is what has really hurt Brown this year. Losing AJ Lesburt and Brady Loughlin for the entire Ivy season has been brutal for a team that lost Lilly, Cooley, and Lyndel Erold. That's a huge amount of offense to lose, and the remainder of the squad simply has not been able to pick up the slack. Mike Martin keeps trying different combinations, but so far nothing has led to a victory since the Columbia game.
[> [> Subject: I never understood...


Author:
Go Green
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Date Posted: 08:05:47 02/04/26 Wed


... why stats regarding "opponents free throws" are kept.

https://ivyleague.com/stats.aspx?path=mbball&year=2025

Even assuming that teams are shooting better at the line against a certain team, how exactly is that team supposed to improve its numbers in that regard?
[> [> [> Subject: Re: I never understood...


Author:
observer
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Date Posted: 09:18:39 02/04/26 Wed

Measures 3 things:

1) Luck
2) Shooting background (it seems like the Palestra has a net negative effect, based on initial parsing of data)
3) Relative strength/weakness of program at the line. This thread seems to be proven out - Brown has either run into terrible luck, or relative to their peers, they can't hit FT...
[> [> [> [> Subject: Re: I never understood...


Author:
An Observer
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Date Posted: 10:14:56 02/04/26 Wed

I'm interested whenever opponents' free throw percentage stands out. Following up on observer:

(1) Similar to when opponents shoot 60% from behind the three-point arc for a half or even a game, luck matters. But eventually, reversion to the mean occurs.

(2) Congratulations to Penn fans, I presume, for screaming and yelling enough to make a difference. I'm surprised that Jadwin doesn't lower opponents' free throw shooting. The "airplane hanger" is certainly the venue that Ivy opponents complain about the most in terms of shooting background.

(3) As Go Green suggested, other parts of the game can affect a team's free throw shooting, at least in theory. If you press for 40 minutes, you're going to be tired at the line with five seconds left. Also, some players (and therefore some teams) just seem to be more calm and composed at the line with the game on the line. Maybe it's my imagination, but you can almost see it in a player's face. Can a team (or a crowd) affect an opponent's composure at crunch time? Maybe.
[> [> [> [> [> Subject: Re: I never understood...


Author:
sparman
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Date Posted: 10:32:37 02/04/26 Wed

I can think of a couple possible reasons to compile this infotmation.

First, the number of opponent free throws tells you about the effect of your own team fouls. If you are committing excessive shooting fouls or when the opppnent is in a bounus situation as compared to nonshooting fouls, that could be something to identify.

Second, the number of points your opponents typically score on FT tells you something about the level of disadvantage you are incurring from shooting fouls.

Of course it may just be the simpler explanation of measuring the disruption caused by fans or shooting environment. If that's the case, I would think percentages are increasing as crowds shrink. Or maybe it's even simpler than that - some stat geek who just loves making numbers rrgardless of relevancy.
[> [> [> Subject: The league says that Columbia's Noland is leading the national in FT percentage


Author:
Go Green
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Date Posted: 16:50:36 02/05/26 Thu


Good luck to everyone defending him at the line!
[> Subject: Re: Missed Foul Shots...


Author:
Sr Punter
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Date Posted: 12:22:11 02/06/26 Fri

I have spent much of this week working on ways to improve our Foul Shot defense. This thread has not been helpful. I'm down to well-timed flatulence by our rebounders.
[> [> Subject: Re: Missed Foul Shots...


Author:
sparman
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Date Posted: 10:06:16 02/07/26 Sat

Given the 61% FT percentage for Yale last night, sounds like not attending the game was a smart decision.


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